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Registros recuperados: 15
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A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO OPTIMAL CROSS-HEDGING OF COTTONSEED PRODUCTS USING SOYBEAN COMPLEX FUTURES AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Turner, Steven C..
Cottonseed crushers face substantial risk in terms of input and output price variability and they are limited in their planning by the lack of viable futures markets for cottonseed or cottonseed products. This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed products using soybean complex futures. Bayesian tests for market efficiency are performed on the cash and futures prices. The test results reject the presence of nonstationary roots, leading to the conclusion that the markets are not efficient. Different cross-hedging strategies are designed and analyzed for eight different hedging horizons in order to maximize the expected profit and utility of the crusher. A Bayesian approach is employed to estimate the parameters, which is consistent with...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19708
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A Bayesian Approach to Optimal Cross-Hedging of Cottonseed Products Using Soybean Complex Futures AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Turner, Steven C..
Cottonseed crushers face substantial risk in terms of input and output price variability and they are limited in their planning by the lack of a viable futures contract for cottonseed or cottonseed products. This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed products using the soybean complex futures. Different cross-hedging strategies are evaluated for eight time horizons relative to the expected profit and utility of the crusher. A Bayesian approach is employed to estimate both model parameters and optimal hedge ratios, allowing consistency with expected utility maximization in the presence of estimation risk. The results reveal that both whole cottonseed and cottonseed products can be successfully cross-hedged using soybean complex futures....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Bayesian decision science; Cottonseed; Cross-hedging; Risk management; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31114
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. A simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices are higher than cash prices in three of the four years evaluated. The empirical analyses suggest soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cash cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cottonseed meal; Cross-hedging; Hedging ratios; Soybean meal; Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14691
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. The simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge-ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices exhibit risk efficiency superior to cash pricing. The empirical analyses suggest that soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21769
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. The Bayesian tests for market efficiency on the cash and futures price data soundly rejects the presence of nonstationary root. The simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge-ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices exhibit risk efficiency superior to cash pricing. The empirical analyses suggest that soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16707
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Market opportunities for African agriculture: a general equilibrium examination of demand-side constraints on agricultural growth in East and Southern Africa AgEcon
Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
In today’s more integrated world economy, agricultural growth in Africa depends not only on raising productivity and increasing production, but on increasing the competitiveness of African agriculture in the global market and expanding its market opportunities within Africa. Unless demand increases, African agriculture cannot grow at a rate sufficient to reduce poverty and hunger to any substantial degree. The accelerated economic growth in Africa in recent years might offer increased opportunities for agriculture from domestic demand. This research report focuses on demand-side constraints on African agricultural growth and their implications for three broad agricultural development strategies: promoting traditional exports, developing nontraditional...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agriculture; Africa; International trade; International Development.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37877
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MARKET OPPORUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURE: AN EXAMINATION OF DEMAND-SIDE CONSTRAINTS ON AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AgEcon
Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
Rapid growth in the agricultural sector is central to any strategy for slashing poverty and hunger on the African continent. Yet investments aimed at increasing agricultural productivity need to be linked to market opportunities if they are not to depress commodity prices and farm incomes. It is widely perceived that high market transaction costs, weak domestic consumer demand, and lack of export possibilities are major constraints on agricultural growth prospects for Africa. But just how severe are these constraints, and what can be done to enhance market opportunities to enable agriculture to become a more powerful engine of growth for the continent? This study addresses these questions. It concludes that non-traditional exports have the fewest...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Development; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16169
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Optimal Contracting for Cattle Feeding: An Assessment of Climatic Conditions AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
A unique approach using a biophysical growth model from the animal science literature is used to examine optimal contract cattle feeding behavior under alternative climatic conditions. The examination of incentives and outcomes in an unusually comprehensive contract parameter and behavioral space is made possible by combining simulated feedlot and carcass performance of a large set of cattle with public price and weather data. The model uniquely fits typical risk aversion levels and rationalizes existing contract types. The results show that optimal cattle feeding contract varies with climatic condition, but there is a tendency to replace cost-of-gain contracts with yardage-feed contracts as grid pricing has emerged.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cattle; Feeding; Contracts; Climate; Industrial Organization; D80.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61451
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Optimal Contracts for Exploration with Cost Recovery of an Exhaustible Natural Resource Under Asymmetric Information AgEcon
Helal, Uddin; Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
Exploration of an exhaustible resource with cost recovery under asymmetric information about cost is modeled and analyzed employing Principal-Agent theory. Allocation of lower than full information level of effort for the high-cost firms is found socially optimal. However, distortion is less in a two-stage process of exploration and extraction.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28578
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OPTIMAL CONTRACTS FOR EXPLORATION WITH COST RECOVERY OF AN EXHAUSTIBLE NATURAL RESOURCE UNDER ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Helal, Uddin.
Exploration of an exhaustible resource with cost recovery under asymmetric information about cost is modeled and analyzed employing Principal-Agent theory. Allocation of lower than full information level of effort for the high-cost firms is found socially optimal. However, distortion is less in a two-stage process of exploration and extraction.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20180
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Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts Under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
Developing a multitask principal-agent model, this paper theoretically analyzes the incentive provisions in the existing cattle feeding contracts under alternative fed cattle pricing methods. Comparative statics from the theoretical model are evaluated by simulation experiments. Feedlot and carcass performance of a large set of feeder steers are simulated employing a dynamic and deterministic bio-physical growth model adapted from the animal science literature. The cattle feeder and the owner's stochastic costs and returns under alternative production technologies and market conditions are then calculated by combining cattle performance data with historical price data. The main finding of this study is that the yardage fee contract is optimal for the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28549
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Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur.
Developing a multitask principal-agent model, this paper theoretically analyzes the incentive provisions in the existing cattle feeding contracts under alternative fed cattle pricing methods. Comparative statics from the theoretical model are evaluated by simulation experiments. Feedlot and carcass performance of a large set of feeder steers are simulated employing a dynamic and deterministic bio-physical growth model adapted from the animal science literature. The cattle feeder and the owner’'s stochastic costs and returns under alternative production technologies and market conditions are then calculated by combining cattle performance data with historical price data. The main finding of this study is that the yardage fee contract is optimal for the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21404
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Subdivision Specific Amenities and Residential Property Values AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Hardie, Ian W..
A hedonic property value model, derived from a dynamic game theoretic framework, is estimated using data obtained for 211 subdivisions including 4628 building lots in five Maryland counties. Linear Box-Cox estimation results show that variables measuring subdivision specific amenities significantly affect residential property values, and omission of such variables produces biased coefficient estimates.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use; Public Economics.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28596
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SUBDIVISION SPECIFIC AMENITIES AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY VALUES AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Hardie, Ian W..
A hedonic property value model, derived from a dynamic game theoretic framework, is estimated using data obtained for 211 subdivisions including 4628 building lots in five Maryland counties. Linear Box-Cox estimation results show that variables measuring subdivision specific amenities significantly affect residential property values, and omission of such variables produces biased coefficient estimates.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20270
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The Cost Structure of Emissions Abatement through the Clean Development Mechanism AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Larson, Donald F.; Dinar, Ariel.
This paper examines the cost structure of emissions abatement through different types of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects. Alternative models for abatement costs are specified and estimated using CDM project-specific data. Empirical results indicate that there exist economies of scale in emission abatement through the CDM projects, and that the marginal cost of abatement significantly varies across different types of projects. The distribution of various CDM project types corresponds to the relative attractiveness of the types, in terms of the structure of the estimated marginal cost function. Thus, empirical results suggest that the CDM market operates efficiently and sends the right signals to the investors, which further explains the shying...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cost Emissions Abatement Clean Development Mechanism; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49397
Registros recuperados: 15
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